CN Market Indicator Dashboard

Executive macro and volatility dashboard for market readiness, risk appetite, and demand conditions.

Last updated: 6/22/2026, 2:34:04 AM | Data source: FRED API

Historical score calculated monthly using latest available values.

Some indicators are unavailable and were excluded from the current score.

Market Readiness Score

Recovery Watch

64 / 100

30D: +4.4

90D: -1

Current Market Regime

Recovery Watch

Leading indicators are improving before lagging confirmation.

Direction

30D: Improving

90D: Flat

Top Positive Drivers

NASDAQ Composite
S&P 500 Index
Brent Crude Oil Price

Top Negative Drivers

Continuing Claims
Initial Jobless Claims
CBOE Volatility Index

Executive Readout

Market conditions are currently recovery watch, with a Market Readiness Score of 64.4. Conditions are mostly flat over the last 90 days. Labor Market Stress is the strongest pillar, while Inflation & Policy Pressure remains the main drag. The biggest positive driver is NASDAQ Composite, while Continuing Claims is the biggest negative driver. This pattern is consistent with a discretionary aircraft market that is sensitive to financing and volatility shifts, so leadership should monitor whether improvements are broadening across growth and labor signals.

Market Readiness Score Over Time

Historical score calculated monthly using latest available values.

Historical Market Regime Timeline

Strong Tailwind

Tailwind

Mixed / Neutral

Headwind

Severe Stress

Recovery Watch

Late-Cycle Caution

Pillar Breakdown

Rates & Financing Conditions

49 / 100

90D: -2.5

Positive: NASDAQ Composite

Negative: Continuing Claims

Jump to deep dive

Growth Momentum

70 / 100

90D: -4.2

Positive: S&P 500 Index

Negative: Initial Jobless Claims

Jump to deep dive

Inflation & Policy Pressure

37 / 100

90D: -28.3

Positive: Brent Crude Oil Price

Negative: CBOE Volatility Index

Jump to deep dive

Labor Market Stress

86 / 100

90D: +9.5

Positive: N/A

Negative: N/A

Jump to deep dive

Market Risk Appetite

81 / 100

90D: +17.7

Positive: N/A

Negative: N/A

Jump to deep dive

What Changed?

Biggest Positive Drivers

NASDAQ Composite: NASDAQ Composite is improving over the last 90 days, which influences market risk conditions.
S&P 500 Index: S&P 500 Index is improving over the last 90 days, which influences market risk conditions.
Brent Crude Oil Price: Brent Crude Oil Price is improving over the last 90 days, which influences international pulse conditions.
Producer Price Index (YoY): Producer Price Index (YoY) is improving over the last 6 months, which influences inflation policy conditions.
Headline CPI (YoY): Headline CPI (YoY) is improving over the last 6 months, which influences inflation policy conditions.

Biggest Negative Drivers

Continuing Claims: Continuing Claims is deteriorating over the last 13 weeks, which influences labor stress conditions.
Initial Jobless Claims: Initial Jobless Claims is deteriorating over the last 13 weeks, which influences labor stress conditions.
CBOE Volatility Index: CBOE Volatility Index is deteriorating over the last 90 days, which influences market risk conditions.
ICE BofA US High Yield OAS: ICE BofA US High Yield OAS is deteriorating over the last 90 days, which influences rates financing conditions.
Unemployment Rate: Unemployment Rate is deteriorating over the last 6 months, which influences labor stress conditions.

International Pulse

Global Headwind

International conditions are shown separately from the U.S. Market Readiness Score.

40 / 100

OECD CLI, OECD Total

98.31

OECD CLI, Europe

98.31

OECD CLI, China

101.38

Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index

119.51

Brent Crude Oil Price

84.36

Leadership Watch Items

1.Re-engage dormant prospects because leading indicators are improving ahead of lagging confirmation.
2.Watch VIX, PMI, and high-yield spreads to confirm recovery durability.
3.Prepare sales operations for improving demand while keeping risk controls intact.

Raw Data & Indicator Deep Dive

Indicator	Pillar	Source	FRED ID	Frequency	Latest Date	Current Value	Transformed	30D / 4W / 3M	90D / 13W / 6M	1Y	Level	Trend	Momentum	Final	Weight	Signal
10-Year Treasury Yield	Rates & Financing Conditions	FRED	DGS10	daily	2026-05-31	4.45	4.45	0.05	0.48	0.04	5.3	0	50	10.1	20%	negative
2-Year Treasury Yield	Rates & Financing Conditions	FRED	DGS2	daily	2026-05-31	3.98	3.98	0.1	0.6	0.09	24.6	0	50	19.8	15%	negative
10Y - 2Y Treasury Yield Spread	Rates & Financing Conditions	FRED	T10Y2Y	daily	2026-05-31	0.47	0.47	-0.05	-0.12	-0.05	50	0	50	32.5	15%	negative
Effective Federal Funds Rate	Rates & Financing Conditions	FRED	FEDFUNDS	monthly	2026-05-31	3.63	3.63	-0.01	-0.01	-0.7	36.8	100	65	63.2	20%	neutral
ICE BofA US Investment Grade OAS	Rates & Financing Conditions	FRED	BAMLC0A0CM	daily	2026-05-31	0.74	0.74	-0.07	-0.12	-0.18	97.2	100	50	91.1	15%	positive
ICE BofA US High Yield OAS	Rates & Financing Conditions	FRED	BAMLH0A0HYM2	daily	2026-05-31	2.74	2.74	-0.09	-0.38	-0.58	91.7	100	50	88.3	15%	positive
ISM Manufacturing PMI	Growth Momentum	FRED	NAPM	monthly	2026-05-31	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	35%	unavailable
OECD U.S. Composite Leading Indicator	Growth Momentum	FRED	USALOLITONOSTSAM	monthly	2026-05-31	99.85	99.85	0	0	0	64	50	35	54.8	30%	neutral
Real Gross Domestic Product	Growth Momentum	FRED	GDPC1	quarterly	2026-05-31	24,152.66	24,152.66	0	0	381.68	100	50	50	75	20%	positive
Industrial Production Index	Growth Momentum	FRED	INDPRO	monthly	2026-05-31	102.65	102.65	0.14	0.7	1.68	90.4	100	65	89.9	15%	positive
Core PCE Price Index (YoY)	Inflation & Policy Pressure	FRED	PCEPILFE	monthly	2026-05-31	129.63	3.05	-0.24	0.02	0.27	75	0	35	42.8	35%	watch
Core CPI (YoY)	Inflation & Policy Pressure	FRED	CPILFESL	monthly	2026-05-31	336.12	2.82	0.08	0.35	0.06	75	25	50	53.8	25%	neutral
Headline CPI (YoY)	Inflation & Policy Pressure	FRED	CPIAUCSL	monthly	2026-05-31	333.98	4.17	0.39	1.73	1.79	50	0	50	32.5	15%	negative
Producer Price Index (YoY)	Inflation & Policy Pressure	FRED	PPIACO	monthly	2026-05-31	292.5	13.08	3.67	9.2	11.76	10	0	0	5	15%	negative
10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate	Inflation & Policy Pressure	FRED	T10YIE	daily	2026-05-31	2.38	2.38	-0.08	0.13	0.04	18.4	50	50	34.2	10%	negative
Initial Jobless Claims	Labor Market Stress	FRED	ICSA	weekly	2026-05-31	225,000	208,000	-1,250	-7,750	-28,000	94.7	100	65	92.1	45%	positive
Unemployment Rate	Labor Market Stress	FRED	UNRATE	monthly	2026-05-31	4.3	4.3	0	-0.1	0	75	100	50	80	35%	positive
Continuing Claims	Labor Market Stress	FRED	CCSA	weekly	2026-05-31	1,786,000	1,794,500	-18,250	-80,500	-96,500	62.3	100	100	81.1	20%	positive
CBOE Volatility Index	Market Risk Appetite	FRED	VIXCLS	daily	2026-05-31	15.32	15.32	-1.57	-4.54	-3.25	85	100	50	85	30%	positive
S&P 500 Index	Market Risk Appetite	FRED	SP500	daily	2026-05-31	7,580.06	7,105.86	233.73	218.06	1,408.33	100	100	65	94.8	25%	positive
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index	Market Risk Appetite	FRED	NFCI	weekly	2026-05-31	-0.5	-0.5	-0.02	0	-0.04	49.1	50	35	47.3	25%	watch
NASDAQ Composite	Market Risk Appetite	FRED	NASDAQCOM	daily	2026-05-31	26,972.62	24,485.19	1,434.8	1,361.18	6,532.05	100	100	100	100	20%	positive
OECD CLI, OECD Total	International Pulse	FRED	OECDLOLITOAASTSAM	monthly	2026-05-31	98.31	98.31	0	0	0	42.1	50	35	43.8	25%	watch
OECD CLI, Europe	International Pulse	FRED	OECDELOLITONOSTSAM	monthly	2026-05-31	98.31	98.31	0	0	0	41.2	50	35	43.4	20%	watch
OECD CLI, China	International Pulse	FRED	CHNLOLITONOSTSAM	monthly	2026-05-31	101.38	101.38	0	0	0	95.6	50	35	70.6	15%	positive
Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index	International Pulse	FRED	DTWEXBGS	daily	2026-05-31	118.88	118.88	0.21	1.06	-2.89	41.2	0	50	28.1	20%	negative
Brent Crude Oil Price	International Pulse	FRED	DCOILBRENTEU	daily	2026-05-31	92.88	92.88	-31.36	21.56	28.56	9.6	50	0	22.3	20%	negative